Is ON Semiconductor's Stock Overvalued? A Detailed Analysis

Published: 28 September 2023 | Last Updated: 28 September 20231841
ON Semiconductor Corp (NASDAQ:ON), a leading supplier of power semiconductors and sensors, is currently experiencing a daily loss of -2.61%, with a 3-month gain of 4.08%.

ON Semiconductor Corp (NASDAQ:ON), a leading supplier of power semiconductors and sensors, is currently experiencing a daily loss of -2.61%, with a 3-month gain of 4.08%. Despite its Earnings Per Share (EPS) standing at 4.37, questions have been raised regarding the company's valuation, with some speculating that the stock may be overvalued. ON Semiconductor, which focuses on the automotive and industrial markets, is the second-largest power chipmaker globally and the largest supplier of image sensors to the automotive market. The company is adopting a hybrid manufacturing strategy for flexible capacity and is shifting its focus to emerging applications like electric vehicles, autonomous vehicles, industrial automation, and renewable energy. 


However, with a current stock price of $91.99 and a GF Value of $67.56, there appears to be a discrepancy between the stock's market price and its estimated fair value. The GF Value is a unique measure of a stock's intrinsic value, calculated based on historical multiples that the stock has traded at, a GuruFocus adjustment factor based on the company's past performance and growth, and future estimates of business performance. If the stock price is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued, and its future return is likely to be poor. Based on the GuruFocus Value calculation, ON Semiconductor appears to be significantly overvalued. With a current price of $91.99 per share and a market cap of $39.70 billion, the stock's future return is likely to be much lower than its future business growth due to its overvaluation. Despite the overvaluation, ON Semiconductor's financial strength is strong, with a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.75. The company has been profitable for 10 years over the past 10 years and had revenues of $8.40 billion and EPS of $4.37 during the past 12 months. Its operating margin of 32.66% is better than 94.43% of 952 companies in the Semiconductors industry. The average annual revenue growth of ON Semiconductor is 11.9%, which ranks worse than 50.8% of 872 companies in the Semiconductors industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth is 40%, which ranks better than 72.52% of 775 companies in the Semiconductors industry. For the past 12 months, ON Semiconductor's return on invested capital is 28.94, and its cost of capital is 12.12, implying the company is creating value for shareholders. In conclusion, while ON Semiconductor's stock appears to be significantly overvalued, the company's financial condition is strong, and its profitability is robust. Its growth ranks better than 72.52% of 775 companies in the Semiconductors industry.

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